35
67
2023
920
Let Event G = original signal is green
E1 = A receives the signal correct
E2 = B receives the signal correct
E = signal received by B is green
P(signal received by B is green) = P(GE1E2) + P(G'E1'E2) + P(G'E1E2') + P(G'E1'E2') = (4/5 × 3/4 × 3/4) + (4/5 × 1/4 × 1/4) + (1/5 × 3/4 × 1/4) + (1/5 × 1/4 × 3/4)
P(E) = 4680
P(G/E) = (4/5 × 3/4 × 3/4) + (1/5 × 1/4 × 1/4) / 4680 = 2023